intorduction: Subsidy
policy has been one of the most challenging economic policy, especially
after1970s.Current Iranian government claims that it has started the reforming
policy in connection with subsidy plan from December
2011.Although reforming policy is theoretically urgent and helpful policy for all including Iran ,to achieve its goals it requires a
comprehensive infrastructural
package. Implementing such policy incautiously, could be problematic. Lack of
the above package in Iranian experience under recent and current government
(2005-2011) is going to endanger usual and positive outcomes of subsidy policy.
Considering the above concern, this paper is investigating the case in
question.
Method: after some
literature review it is based on econometric methods and it uses time series
data 1974-2011 periods (by assistance of auto regression model).
Findings: 1-Gini
coefficient and general indicators of welfare show that there is a high
inequality in Iranian economy in the period of this study. 2-regarding current
administration, the subsidy policy would worsen the income distribution, and in
long run social welfare.
Conclusion: Given the
current administration and due to inefficiency of basic infrastructures of
policy itself, subsidy policy would worsen the income inequality, and thus from
social welfare point of view, it doesn’t work in its consistent and efficient
framework.
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