چکیده: (11356 مشاهده)
Objectives: Each year, the United Nations publishes an annual report titled by
“Human Development Report” for all countries around the world which in which
the complex index for human development for achieving health life alongside
education and economic welfare is examined. The innate ambiguity in estimation
of human development index has brought about numerous criticism against the
method of investigating human development index. Therefore, many methods
are suggested for this examination. In this study, the fuzzy ranking method that is
most relevant to the concept of Human development index is suggested.
Method: This study attempts to apply a suitable mathematical fuzzy model in
order to rank human development index for provinces. Fuzzy logic has recently
entered into such concepts as poverty and welfare. The multidimensional and
ambiguity of human development concept paves the way for the use of fuzzy
ranking. In this paper, fuzzy logic and fuzzy sets are used to estimate human
development index during the years 1996, 2001 and 2005 for all provinces of
Iran.
Findings: in ranking human development index through deferent scenarios,
Tehran, Isfahan, Ghazvin and Guilan provinces have first to forth rank
respectively. But from this point onwards, ranking of provinces by human
development index differs. Tehran province during three time periods, through
different methods obtained the highest rank in all components. Kurdestan and
Sistan-Balouchestan have the lowest degree in human development index. Also
these provinces have the lowest degree in all components.
Results: The result show that by changing the methods of investigation, the rank
of some provinces goes under some changes. Regarding the gradual transition in
fuzzy ranking method it seems that this method is more appropriate for
measuring the ambiguous outcomes. in 2005, changing the method of
investigation brought about -8 degree of decrease for Ghom province and therank of this province fell from 13 into 21. This also caused +8 degree of increase
in Golestan province’s rank. Thus, choosing a suitable method for policy makers
in distributing the resources and facilities is of critical importance so as to avoid
such problems as population density, traffic, environmental pollution. Regarding
the aforementioned numbers and for the purpose of decentralization, a need for
local plans is now felt than ever before. By investing more in underdeveloped
areas, hopefully we will be able to witness a substantial growth in human
development index of these areas and that of the country
نوع مطالعه:
اصیل |
موضوع مقاله:
رفاه اجتماعی دریافت: 1390/1/20 | انتشار: 1389/4/24