Volume 16, Issue 62 (10-2016)                   refahj 2016, 16(62): 324-358 | Back to browse issues page

XML Persian Abstract Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

shirdel R, Sadeghi H, asari Arani A, Abdoli G. (2016). Comparing Iran's per capita welfare changes Due to Increase in Inequality in 2003 and 2011. refahj. 16(62), 324-358.
URL: http://refahj.uswr.ac.ir/article-1-2683-en.html
Abstract:   (4909 Views)

Introduction: The most important problem of Iran’s economy in 2010s  was decline in financial strength of government for continuing economic subsidies, which led to failure to start and continue infrastructural and vital projects . Also, it changed  the optimum social consumption habit . These reasons caused the government to start  economic reform (such as liberalization of energy conduit prices ),which was called economic evolution plan, from the winter of 2010. Beside these reforms, external shocks such as oil price increase caused a deep effect on Iran’s main economic variables such as inequality.  This research aimed to investigate the effect of inequality changes on the welfare per capita in this period .  . In other words, the effect of changes in income distribution (inequality) on welfare on 2011 compared to 2003.

Method: The marginal utility of consumption was used as the determinant of welfare per capita. To measure welfare, Bergson – Samuelson model was applied, which considers both effects of income on welfare and income distribution. The Bergson -Samuelson model’s marginal utility of consumption  is generated from two parameters; the consumption per capita and the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption / income. The second parameter is an indicator for  inequality. There are some different methods for calculation of the elasticity, but  behavioral evidence  and  revealed social values approaches are two reliable of them which were  used in this paper. Considering that welfare changes were calculated for a period of eight years, the results can be used in the long-term policy making.

.

Results: The results showed that Iran’s welfare per capita decreased by 5.23 percent in 2011 compared to 2003 due to increase in inequality It is worth mentioning that  in this period, inequality aversion  increased.

Discussion: The elasticity of marginal utility of consumption in Iran for 1965-2003 and 1982-2011

was equal to  1.56   and 1.92 respectively,   which show inequality aversion. In fact, this aversion caused  a 5.23 percent decrease in welfare per capita in Iran. Also, based on the revealed social values approach, the marginal utility of consumption elasticity is equal to 1, which is not reliable due to the high share of oil revenues on the government’s income.

Full-Text [PDF 534 kb]   (3010 Downloads)    
Type of Study: orginal |
Received: 2017/01/30 | Accepted: 2017/01/30 | Published: 2017/01/30

References
1. Amiel, Y., Creedy, J. & Hurn, S. (1998). Attitudes towards inequality. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 101, 83-96.
2. Groom, B. & Maddison, D. (2013). NON-IDENTICAL QUADRUPLETS: FOUR NEW ESTIMATES OF THE ELASTICITY OF MARGINAL UTILITY FOR THE UK. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, Working Paper No. 141
3. Blundell, R., Browning, M. & Meghir, C. (1994). Consumer demand and the Life-cycle allocation of househoLd expenditures. Review of Economic Studies, 61, 57-80.
4. Cowell, F. & Gardiner, K. (1999). Welfare Weights. (STICERD), London School of Economics, Economics Research Paper 20, August.
5. Evans, D. (2005). The elasticity of marginal utility of consumption, estimates for twenty OECD countries, Fiscal Studies, 26, 197-224.
6. Evans, D. (2004). The elevated status of the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption. Applied Economics Letters, 11, 443–447.
7. Evans, D., Kula, E. & Sezer, H. (2005). Regional welfare weights in the UK; England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. Regional Studies, 39, 923-937.
8. Evans, D. & Sezer, H. (2002). A time preference measure of the social discount rate for the UK. Applied Economics, 34, 1925-1934.
9. Fellner, D. (1967). Operational utility: the theoretical background and a measurement. In W. Fellner (Ed.). Ten Economic Studies in the Tradition of Irving Fisher (39-75). New York: John Wiley & Sons Press .
10. Kazlauskiene, V. (2015). Application of social discount rate for assessment of public investment projects. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 213, 462-464 .
11. Kula, E. (2002). Regional welfare weights in investment appraisal- the case of India. The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, 32, 99-114.
12. Pearce, D. & Ulph, D. (1995). A social discount rate for the UK. CSERGE Working Paper No. 95-01, School of Environmental Studies, University of East Anglia, Norwich.
13. Stern, N. (1977). Welfare weights and the elasticity of marginal utility of income. In M. Artist & R. Norbay (Eds.). Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Association of University Teachers of Economics (209-257). Oxford: Blackwell Press.

Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2024 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Social Welfare Quarterly

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb